Tag Archives: Nassim Taleb

Sustainability Boils Down to Scale

Several conversations I had at the recent Peak Prosperity conference in Sonoma, CA sparked an insight into why societies and economies thrive or fail: It All Boils Down to Scale. In a conversation with a Peak Prosperity member who goes by MemeMonkey, … Continue reading

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What’s America’s Fragility Score?

By this measure, the U.S. scores very poorly: 4 out of a possible 5 on the Fragility Index. There is a certain logic to the idea that stability is a good predictor for future stability: if a nation’s economy and … Continue reading

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The Oil-Drenched Black Swan, Part 1

Given the presumed 17% expansion of the global economy since 2009, the tiny increases in production could not possibly flood the world in oil unless demand has cratered. The term Black Swan shows up in all sorts of discussions, but what does … Continue reading

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The Essential Role of Volatility, Stress and Dissent

The individual or system that never experiences dissent, volatility or stress is systemically unhealthy and increasingly prone to sudden “gosh, I didn’t see this coming” collapse. To say that volatility, stress, dissent are not just healthy, but essential for maintaining … Continue reading

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