Tag Archives: recession

The Next Recession Will Be Devastatingly Non-Linear

Linear correlations are intuitive: if GDP declines 2% in the next recession, and employment declines 2%, we get it: the scale and size of the decline aligns. In a linear correlation, we’d expect sales to drop by about 2%, businesses closing … Continue reading

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Swamp Thing Takes Over Treasury – ForclosureGate II, the Sequel

ForclosureGate (circa 2010 forward): Widespread mortgage fraud as a result of an unregulated, rigged housing market guaranteed to create a collapse and waves of foreclosures, all of which leads to major hardship for homeowners and their families. (Washington, DC)  Wall … Continue reading

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What If We’re in a Depression But Don’t Know It?

Just for the sake of argument, let’s ask: what if we’re in a Depression but don’t know it? How could we possibly be in a Depression and not know it, you ask? Well, there are several ways we could be … Continue reading

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Look Out Below: the Real Economy Just Hit Stall Speed

What do we mean when we say the U.S. economy is at stall speed? Stall speed refers to the air speed and angle of the wing (called the angle of attack) needed to keep an aircraft aloft. “An aircraft flying at … Continue reading

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Rent Bubble = Housing Bubble = Rent Bubble

Here is the conventional narrative about rents and housing valuations: 1. Rents have soared because people can’t afford to buy a house and have to rent 2. Based on soaring rents, housing is fairly valued In other words, rents and … Continue reading

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